Sport Picks
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
12'
12'
Brown A.
64'
64'
Rodic M.
89'
89'
Rodic M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St George Saints
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Northern Tigers lately — more wins on the board than St George Saints.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Northern Tigers taking it.
- Northern Tigers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor St George Saints, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St George Saints | Northern Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
3:1
Sep 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Northern Tigers vs St George Saints
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs St George Saints
3:0
Jun 18, 2022 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Northern Tigers
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St George Saints Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cunningham I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Northern Tigers Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St George Saints 26 / 100
Northern Tigers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St George Saints Northern Tigers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Northern Tigers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Northern Tigers let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: St George Saints stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
St George Saints's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
St George Saints VS Northern Tigers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St George Saints
(Home) 12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0 St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0 St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2 St George Saints
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3 SD Raiders
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 3
Northern Tigers
(Away) 12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0 St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3 Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2 Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1 Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3 Northern Tigers
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1 Northern Tigers
01 Aug
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 3 Northern Tigers
19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2 Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
St George Saints 3
Northern Tigers 1
