Sport Picks
St George Saints vs SD Raiders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
31'
31'
Casella J.
57'
57'
Beaven E.
61'
61'
Marcic M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and SD Raiders finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St George Saints
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- St George Saints haven't matched SD Raiders's recent run of results.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St George Saints | SD Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs SD Raiders
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs St George Saints
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 NSW League One
St George Saints vs SD Raiders
1:3
Feb 18, 2023 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs St George Saints
2:2
Jun 4, 2022 NSW League One
St George Saints vs SD Raiders
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St George Saints Compare
Top Goalscorer Casella J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skataric N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
SD Raiders Compare
Top Goalscorer Beaven E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St George Saints 34 / 100
SD Raiders 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St George Saints SD Raiders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Raiders let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
St George Saints's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: St George Saints stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St George Saints VS SD Raiders
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St George Saints
(Home) 12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0 St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0 St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2 St George Saints
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3 SD Raiders
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 3
SD Raiders
(Away) 30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3 SD Raiders
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
