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St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and Sydney FC U23 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St George Saints
6%
Draws
90%
Sydney FC U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sydney FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney FC U23 come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Sydney FC U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 12%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Sydney FC U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
4:2
Aug 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
1:1
May 27, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 10 / 100
Sydney FC U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Sydney FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sydney FC U23 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St George Saints scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Sydney FC U23 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Sydney FC U23
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
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Sydney FC U23

(Away)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2
Sydney FC U23
30 Jun
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong24951028:3232
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13St. George City25771123:4028
14Blacktown City24671133:3925
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)