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St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
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AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and Sydney FC U23 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St George Saints
30%
Draws
23%
Sydney FC U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney FC U23 come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 17%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Sydney FC U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
4:2
Aug 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
1:1
May 27, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 30 / 100
Sydney FC U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Sydney FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St George Saints Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St George Saints found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Sydney FC U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St George Saints has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Sydney FC U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
Page 1 of 6

Sydney FC U23

(Away)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1
Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2
St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)