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St George Saints vs Sydney Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St George Saints play Sydney Olympic in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, St George Saints averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Sydney Olympic averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, St George Saints won 3, Sydney Olympic won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for St George Saints and 1.31 for Sydney Olympic. This points to a St George Saints double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
St George Saints
15%
Draws
41%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St George Saints picked up more points recently compared to Sydney Olympic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 18%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Olympic
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs St George Saints
0:2
May 24, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Olympic
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs St George Saints
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs St George Saints
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Armenakas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Callaghan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 43 / 100
Sydney Olympic 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Sydney Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St George Saints or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St George Saints attacking → ← attacking Sydney Olympic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St George Saints scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sydney Olympic let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sydney Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 29
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715