Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St George Saints vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Wright K. P.
38' Event
Campbell L.
Own Goal
45'
Wohlfiel T.

AI Match Summary

St George Saints in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St George Saints.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St George Saints
30%
Draws
34%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNSW lately — more wins on the board than St George Saints.
  • Win probability leans St George Saints's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 15%
UNSW Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints UNSW
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs St George Saints
1:4
Feb 28, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs UNSW
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright K. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UNSW Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 35 / 100
UNSW 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints UNSW

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

UNSW has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: UNSW has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS UNSW
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918