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St George Saints vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rose J.
10' Event
Waraga A.
24' Event
Morrison O.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and Western Sydney Wanderers U21 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Sydney Wanderers U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St George Saints
39%
Draws
31%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Western Sydney Wanderers U21 come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0:4
Jul 30, 2022 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:3
May 14, 2022 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints
3:2
May 29, 2021 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St George Saints
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 NSW League One
St George Saints vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waraga A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 29 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St George Saints has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918