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St. George Willawong vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fulluck J.
90'
O'Bryan L.

AI Match Summary

Holland Park Hawks in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holland Park Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
St. George Willawong
28%
Draws
22%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St. George Willawong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holland Park Hawks lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on St. George Willawong taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs St. George Willawong
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Holland Park Hawks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Fulluck J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 47 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Holland Park Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: St. George Willawong stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

St. George Willawong's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Holland Park Hawks
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 6

Holland Park Hawks

(Away)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
03 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
26 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
1 : 4
Redlands
23 Jun
Logan Lightning
2 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)