Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. George Willawong vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
06:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George Willawong host Robina City in the Queensland Premier League. Robina City go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: St. George Willawong at 0.5 goals for, 3.13 against; Robina City at 1.63 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Robina City slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 2.38, favoring Robina City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. George Willawong
11%
Draws
80%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Robina City lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • Robina City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
Robina City Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Robina City
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs St. George Willawong
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 10 / 100
Robina City 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Robina City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St. George Willawong's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Robina City has conceded goals in 59% of their last 17 outings.

Recent resilience: St. George Willawong stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Robina City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507