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St. George Willawong vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Koloski J.
87' Event
McMaster H.

AI Match Summary

Robina City in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Robina City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
St. George Willawong
15%
Draws
59%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Robina City lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • Robina City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 16%
Robina City Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Robina City
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Robina City
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs St. George Willawong
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer Koloski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McMaster H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 19 / 100
Robina City 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Robina City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Robina City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Robina City let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: St. George Willawong scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: St. George Willawong stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Robina City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
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Robina City

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)