Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Asresahegn B.
53'
53'
Teshome T.
76'
76'
Fitsumi T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between St. Georges and Ethio Electric S.C. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Recent numbers put St. Georges and Ethio Electric S.C. close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
- St. Georges are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- St. Georges have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Georges | Ethio Electric S.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs St. Georges
1:0
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs St. Georges
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Teshome T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fitsumi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ethio Electric S.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Asresahegn B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Georges 77 / 100
Ethio Electric S.C. 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Georges Ethio Electric S.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Georges went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ethio Electric S.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: St. Georges scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Georges VS Ethio Electric S.C.
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Georges
(Home) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
01 May
St. Georges
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Away) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 May
Welwalo Adigrat
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
05 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethio Electric S.C.
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
