Sport Picks
St. Georges vs Ethiopian Insurance
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Yalew A.
AI Match Summary
St. Georges in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Georges lately — more wins on the board than Ethiopian Insurance.
- Model gives St. Georges a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Georges | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs St. Georges
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:0
Jun 3, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs St. Georges
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:0
May 10, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Yalew A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ethiopian Insurance Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Georges 95 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Georges Ethiopian Insurance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Georges has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ethiopian Insurance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Ethiopian Insurance lost 3 of their last 5 games.
St. Georges found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
St. Georges VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Georges
(Home) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
01 May
St. Georges
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopian Insurance
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 7
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
26 May
Sidama Bunna
3 : 2 Ethiopian Insurance
15 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
