Sport Picks
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
Fitsumi T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between St. Georges and Fasil Kenema finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fasil Kenema come out ahead of St. Georges on wins alone.
- Model gives St. Georges a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Georges | Fasil Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs St. Georges
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs St. Georges
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
1:2
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Fitsumi T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Fasil Kenema Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Georges 59 / 100
Fasil Kenema 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Georges Fasil Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: St. Georges remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: St. Georges scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Fasil Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
St. Georges VS Fasil Kenema
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Georges
(Home) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
01 May
St. Georges
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
Fasil Kenema
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
