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St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Fitsumi T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between St. Georges and Fasil Kenema finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Georges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
St. Georges
11%
Draws
9%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St. Georges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fasil Kenema come out ahead of St. Georges on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Georges a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Georges Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs St. Georges
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs St. Georges
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
1:2
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Fasil Kenema
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Georges Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitsumi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fasil Kenema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Georges 86 / 100
Fasil Kenema 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Georges Fasil Kenema

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St. Georges remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: St. Georges scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Fasil Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Georges VS Fasil Kenema
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635