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St Ives Town vs Bury Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Edwards J.
90' Event
Ramadan C.
90' Event
Canfer O.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between St Ives Town and Bury Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St Ives Town
30%
Draws
41%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • St Ives Town haven't matched Bury Town's recent run of results.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on St Ives Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 10%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Ives Town Bury Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Bury Town
1:2
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs St Ives Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Ives Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canfer O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Ives Town 74 / 100
Bury Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Ives Town Bury Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Ives Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Ives Town scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Bury Town let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: St Ives Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Ives Town VS Bury Town
2 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St Ives Town

(Home)
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2
Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0
Stratford
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2
St Ives Town
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2
Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 6

Bury Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)