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St Ives Town vs Bury Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Edwards J.
90' Event
Ramadan C.
90' Event
Canfer O.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between St Ives Town and Bury Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St Ives Town
11%
Draws
80%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St Ives Town haven't matched Bury Town's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bury Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 12%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Ives Town Bury Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Bury Town
1:2
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs St Ives Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Ives Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canfer O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Ives Town 11 / 100
Bury Town 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Ives Town Bury Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Ives Town scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bury Town let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: St Ives Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Ives Town VS Bury Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525