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St. John's vs Shamrock

Grenada Grenada

Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. John's and Shamrock finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. John's.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
St. John's
15%
Draws
21%
Shamrock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. John's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Shamrock haven't matched St. John's's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. John's's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. John's here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
St. John's Clean Sheet 19%
Shamrock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. John's Shamrock
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.47 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Premier Division
St. John's vs Shamrock
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock vs St. John's
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Premier Division
St. John's vs Shamrock
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Premier Division
Shamrock vs St. John's
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. John's 85 / 100
Shamrock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. John's Shamrock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. John's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. John's scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Shamrock let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St. John's remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. John's VS Shamrock
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. John's

(Home)
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
23 Jul
Dublanc FC
1 : 3
St. John's
14 Dec
St. Davids
2 : 7
St. John's
30 Nov
St. John's
4 : 0
SAB Spartans
25 Oct
Camerhogne
1 : 2
St. John's
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Shamrock

(Away)
30 Nov
Hurricanes
4 : 1
Shamrock
09 Nov
Hard Rock
3 : 0
Shamrock
26 Oct
Shamrock
4 : 1
North Stars
04 Oct
Shamrock
2 : 2
Paradise
28 Sept
Shamrock
0 : 2
Queens Park Rangers
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