Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup McDiarmid Park

Cove Rangers

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone play Cove Rangers in the Scottish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Johnstone averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Cove Rangers averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, St Johnstone won 1, Cove Rangers won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for St Johnstone and 0.88 for Cove Rangers. This points to a St Johnstone double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

St Johnstone

29%

Draws

29%

Cove Rangers

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

St Johnstone picked up more points recently compared to Cove Rangers.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

St Johnstone Clean Sheet 25%

Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Johnstone	Cove Rangers
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	12
Draws	8	9
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.9	1.57
Goals Conceded	0.79	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup

St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly

St Johnstone vs Cove Rangers

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikpeazu U.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Megginson M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Emslie A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 43 / 100

Cove Rangers 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Johnstone Cove Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St Johnstone or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St Johnstone attacking → ← attacking Cove Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Cove Rangers let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St Johnstone went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cove Rangers lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 45

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88