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St Johnstone vs East Fife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup McDiarmid Park, Perth
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Slattery P. In: Fairley J.
Out: Slattery P.
46'
Sub
Holt J. In: Fowler J.
Out: Holt J.
62'
Austin N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St Johnstone
30%
Draws
31%
East Fife
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • St Johnstone have won more games recently than East Fife.
  • Model gives St Johnstone a 39% chance of winning this.
  • St Johnstone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Johnstone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St Johnstone have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 68%
East Fife Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone East Fife
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
5:1
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
East Fife vs St Johnstone
0:3
Jul 14, 2018 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
1:0
Jul 9, 2014 Club Friendly
East Fife vs St Johnstone
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanton S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 50 / 100
East Fife 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone East Fife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Johnstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

East Fife has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: St Johnstone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS East Fife
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

East Fife

(Away)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams