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St Johnstone vs East Fife

Scotland Scotland

League Cup McDiarmid Park, Perth
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Slattery P. In: Fairley J.
Out: Slattery P.
46'
Sub
Holt J. In: Fowler J.
Out: Holt J.
62'
Austin N.

AI Match Summary

East Fife in this League Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
St Johnstone
11%
Draws
9%
East Fife
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St Johnstone have won more games recently than East Fife.
  • Model gives St Johnstone a 80% chance of winning this.
  • St Johnstone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Johnstone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St Johnstone have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 68%
East Fife Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone East Fife
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 2.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
5:1
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
East Fife vs St Johnstone
0:3
Jul 14, 2018 League Cup
St Johnstone vs East Fife
1:0
Jul 9, 2014 Club Friendly
East Fife vs St Johnstone
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanton S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 86 / 100
East Fife 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone East Fife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: St Johnstone scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: St Johnstone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS East Fife
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0
Morton
14 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
St Johnstone
11 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 4
St Johnstone
04 Jul
Montrose
0 : 3
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

East Fife

(Away)
21 Jul
East Fife
3 : 1
Linlithgow Rose
14 Jul
East Fife
2 : 0
Morton
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1
East Fife
02 May
Cove Rangers
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Apr
East Fife
1 : 1
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aberdeen33008:29
2Queen's Park32016:36
3Kelty Hearts32014:55
4Queen of the South31025:54
5Brora Rangers40043:110
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd43018:19
2Montrose33005:09
3Stirling31023:43
4Arbroath31022:63
5Spartans30032:90
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren330012:39
2Dunfermline32019:46
3East Kilbride420213:106
4Cove Rangers31023:113
5Dumbarton30034:130
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County33008:38
2Dundee FC320110:37
3Clyde32016:46
4Airdrieonians31025:53
5Annan40042:160
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick430113:39
2Stenhousemuir33006:38
3Livingston320111:17
4Brechin30031:100
5Forfar Athletic30030:140
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness33004:18
2East Fife32016:27
3St Johnstone32015:16
4Linlithgow Rose41032:73
5Morton30030:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr33006:29
2Edinburgh City42024:76
3Falkirk31026:24
4Alloa32013:54
5Stranraer30034:71
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith42025:28
2Kilmarnock33002:08
3Hamilton32012:25
4Peterhead31023:33
5Elgin City30032:70
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams