Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Johnstone vs Raith

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 McDiarmid Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gullan J.
(Penalty)
24'
Diabate C.
33'
Easton D.

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
St Johnstone
15%
Draws
53%
Raith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • St Johnstone have won more games recently than Raith.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Raith taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 21%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Raith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Championship
St Johnstone vs Raith
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Championship
Raith vs St Johnstone
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
St Johnstone vs Raith
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Raith vs St Johnstone
0:2
Jul 22, 2025 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Raith
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gullan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 29 / 100
Raith 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Raith has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

St Johnstone has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Raith
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
02 Aug
St Johnstone
4 : 3
Kilmarnock
25 Jul
St Johnstone
1 : 2
East Fife
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0
Morton
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Raith

(Away)
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)