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St Johnstone W vs Elgin City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Women 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with St Johnstone W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St Johnstone W
25%
Draws
35%
Elgin City W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: St Johnstone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone W come out ahead of Elgin City W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elgin City W a 35% chance of winning this.
  • St Johnstone W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Johnstone W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St Johnstone W Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone W Elgin City W
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 8 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 22 1
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 3.87 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Scottish Cup Women
St Johnstone W vs Elgin City W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone W 10 / 100
Elgin City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone W Elgin City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City W let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

St Johnstone W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: St Johnstone W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone W VS Elgin City W
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone W

(Home)
09 Aug
Renfrew W
2 : 1
St Johnstone W
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8
Montrose W
02 Aug
Aberdeen W
3 : 4
St Johnstone W
26 Jul
St Johnstone W
2 : 3
Livingston W
05 Oct
Rangers W
12 : 0
St Johnstone W
Page 1 of 6

Elgin City W

(Away)
02 Feb
St Johnstone W
4 : 2
Elgin City W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Falkirk W 0
Hearts W 9
Glasgow City W 3
Celtic W 2
Dundee Utd W 1
Boroughmuir W 3
Motherwell W 6
Bonnyrigg Rose W 0
Rangers W 7
Montrose W 0
Spartans W 6
Kilmarnock W 0
St Johnstone W 4
Elgin City W 2
Aberdeen W 3
Hamilton W 0
Quarter-finals
Hearts W 2
Glasgow City W 3
Boroughmuir W 0
Motherwell W 3
Rangers W 2
Spartans W 0
St Johnstone W 1
Aberdeen W 4
Semi-finals
Glasgow City W 4
Motherwell W 0
Rangers W 5
Aberdeen W 0
Final
Glasgow City W 0
Rangers W 3