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St Johnstone W vs Livingston W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Livie L.
45' Event
Donald E.
46' Event
Whiteford M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
St Johnstone W
15%
Draws
57%
Livingston W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Johnstone W lately — more wins on the board than Livingston W.
  • Model gives Livingston W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • St Johnstone W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Livingston W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St Johnstone W Clean Sheet 10%
Livingston W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone W Livingston W
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 8 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2.15
Goals Conceded 3.87 3.77
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
St Johnstone W vs Livingston W
2:3
Sep 3, 2023 SWPL Cup Women
St Johnstone W vs Livingston W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Livie L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Livingston W Compare

Top Goalscorer Whiteford M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donald E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone W 18 / 100
Livingston W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone W Livingston W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livingston W has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Livingston W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

St Johnstone W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone W VS Livingston W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
5.13 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone W

(Home)
09 Aug
Renfrew W
2 : 1
St Johnstone W
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8
Montrose W
02 Aug
Aberdeen W
3 : 4
St Johnstone W
26 Jul
St Johnstone W
2 : 3
Livingston W
05 Oct
Rangers W
12 : 0
St Johnstone W
Page 1 of 6

Livingston W

(Away)
13 Sept
Livingston W
0 : 8
Glasgow City W
26 Aug
Livingston W
3 : 1
Queen's Park W
09 Aug
Livingston W
5 : 0
Falkirk FCF W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Livingston W
1 : 7
Motherwell W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montrose W 4 4 0 0 25:3 12
2 Motherwell W 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
3 Spartans W 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Hamilton W 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
5 Kilmarnock W 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
6 Boroughmuir W 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Livingston W 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
8 Gartcairn W 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
9 Dundee Utd W 4 2 0 2 7:6 5
10 Queen's Park W 4 1 0 3 7:9 4
11 Renfrew W 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
12 St Johnstone W 4 1 0 3 9:16 3
13 Aberdeen W 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
14 Falkirk FCF W 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)