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St. Lawrence vs Ghaxaq

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Calleja I.
62' Event
Agius D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Ghaxaq advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
St. Lawrence
15%
Draws
64%
Ghaxaq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghaxaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • St. Lawrence have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Ghaxaq are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Model gives Ghaxaq a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghaxaq, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
St. Lawrence Clean Sheet 16%
Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Lawrence Ghaxaq
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2018 FA Trophy
St. Lawrence vs Ghaxaq
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Lawrence Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ghaxaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Calleja I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agius D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Lawrence 10 / 100
Ghaxaq 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Lawrence Ghaxaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghaxaq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghaxaq let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

St. Lawrence's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

St. Lawrence went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Lawrence VS Ghaxaq
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Lawrence

(Home)
09 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 5
Xewkija
01 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
03 Sept
Xghajra
4 : 1
St. Lawrence
23 Oct
Lija
5 : 0
St. Lawrence
10 Sept
St. Lawrence
3 : 0
Zurrieq
Page 1 of 3

Ghaxaq

(Away)
26 Oct
Mgarr
5 : 1
Ghaxaq
14 Sept
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1
Zebbug Rovers
28 Oct
Fgura
4 : 1
Ghaxaq
09 Sept
Victoria Wanderers
0 : 1
Ghaxaq
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
TBD -
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TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
TBD -
Xewkija -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
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Kirkop -
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Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
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Zabbar -
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TBD -
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Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4