Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Liege U23 vs St. Gilloise 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade de la Cite de l’Oie, Visé
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Mitongo R.

AI Match Summary

St. Liege U23 in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
St. Liege U23
30%
Draws
51%
St. Gilloise 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Gilloise 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Liege U23 haven't matched St. Gilloise 2's recent run of results.
  • St. Gilloise 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 20%
St. Gilloise 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege U23 St. Gilloise 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Gilloise 2 vs St. Liege U23
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Gilloise 2 vs St. Liege U23
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs St. Gilloise 2
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Gilloise 2 vs St. Liege U23
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs St. Gilloise 2
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitongo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Gilloise 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege U23 20 / 100
St. Gilloise 2 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege U23 St. Gilloise 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gilloise 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Gilloise 2 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

St. Liege U23's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: St. Liege U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege U23 VS St. Gilloise 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege U23

(Home)
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
Page 1 of 6

St. Gilloise 2

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Gilloise 2
4 : 2
RWDM Brussels
26 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
Page 1 of 6