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Stadium Background

St. Liege vs Antwerp

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Busi M.
10'
Karamoko I.
47'
Tsunashima Y.

AI Match Summary

St. Liege in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
St. Liege
15%
Draws
8%
Antwerp
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Antwerp.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on St. Liege taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 14%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Antwerp
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.84 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:0
May 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
0:5
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 57 / 100
Antwerp 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Antwerp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Antwerp let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St. Liege has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Antwerp
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
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Antwerp

(Away)
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 1
Antwerp
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)