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St. Liege vs Leuven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

2 - 1
FT
Leuven Logo

Leuven

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Nkada T.
34'
Vaesen K.
40' Event
Nyakossi R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between St. Liege and Leuven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Liege.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
St. Liege
15%
Draws
34%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Liege come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Liege's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 20%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Leuven
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:2
May 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nielsen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyakossi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 42 / 100
Leuven 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Leuven let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Leuven lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Leuven
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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Leuven

(Away)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)