Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ault P.
Assist: Barclay J.
24'
Kamara M.
26' Event
Joyner M.
Assist: Ault P.

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. Louis City 2
11%
Draws
80%
Minnesota United 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Louis City 2 haven't matched Minnesota United 2's recent run of results.
  • Minnesota United 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Minnesota United 2
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs St. Louis City 2
5:2
May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs St. Louis City 2
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joyner M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ault P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
Minnesota United 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Minnesota United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Minnesota United 2 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Minnesota United 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Minnesota United 2
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City 2

(Home)
18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0
St. Louis City 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
20 Jun
Minnesota United 2
5 : 2
St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 6

Minnesota United 2

(Away)
20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0
Minnesota United 2
29 Jun
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
25 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5CT United FC18100833:3228
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Chattanooga19120735:3034
5New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8New York City II1690727:2328
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
2Austin FC II17130436:1640
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)