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St. Louis City vs Austin FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between St. Louis City and Austin FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
St. Louis City
11%
Draws
9%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Austin FC haven't matched St. Louis City's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 20%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Austin FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
3:0
May 3, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs St. Louis City
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs St. Louis City
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 76 / 100
Austin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St. Louis City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St. Louis City's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Austin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Austin FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Houston Dynamo
16 May
DC United
1 : 1
St. Louis City
14 May
St. Louis City
2 : 1
Los Angeles FC
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Austin FC

(Away)
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0
Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1
Queretaro
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0
Austin FC
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