Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

USA USA

MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Holding R.
17'
Sub
Sealy D. In: Navarro M.
Out: Sealy D.
25'
Ojediran H.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
St. Louis City
20%
Draws
28%
Colorado Rapids
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Louis City come out ahead of Colorado Rapids on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Louis City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 20%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Colorado Rapids
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
1:0
May 10, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
0:1
May 25, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
0:0
Jul 8, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostrak T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Colorado Rapids Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 85 / 100
Colorado Rapids 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Colorado Rapids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Louis City scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Colorado Rapids has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Colorado Rapids
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)
02 Aug
St. Louis City
1 : 1
Real Salt Lake
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3
St. Louis City
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Rapids

(Away)
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Austin FC
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
Juarez
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 38:17 34
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 35:19 34
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 37:24 33
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 25:24 29
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 29:25 27
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 32:25 27
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 24:24 26
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 33:33 24
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 20:22 24
10 Minnesota United 18 6 6 6 20:25 24
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 27:25 22
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 24:29 22
13 San Diego FC 18 5 6 7 32:29 21
14 Austin FC 18 4 5 9 22:36 17
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 18:46 14
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 35:14 40
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 45:32 38
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 28:21 30
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 32:23 29
5 New York City 18 7 5 6 31:24 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 45:44 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 7 4 7 29:27 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 29:39 25
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 26:29 23
10 Orlando City 18 6 2 10 30:47 20
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 26:28 20
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 24:32 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 25:33 16
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 24:35 16
15 Atlanta United 18 3 3 12 19:33 12
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)