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St. Louis Lions vs Chicago United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis Lions in this USL Premier Development League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
St. Louis Lions
15%
Draws
78%
Chicago United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago United have won more games recently than St. Louis Lions.
  • Model gives Chicago United a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Louis Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis Lions Chicago United
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.06 3
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2022 USL League Two
Chicago United vs St. Louis Lions
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Chicago United
2:2
Jun 27, 2020 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Chicago United
0:0
May 29, 2020 USL League Two
Chicago United vs St. Louis Lions
0:0
Jun 29, 2018 USL League Two
Chicago United vs St. Louis Lions
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis Lions 10 / 100
Chicago United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis Lions Chicago United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chicago United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis Lions found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Chicago United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: St. Louis Lions stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis Lions VS Chicago United
2.25 Goals Scored 4.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis Lions

(Home)
17 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
16 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
14 Jul
Chicago City
3 : 3
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
2 : 1
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
3 : 1
St. Louis Lions
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Chicago United

(Away)
24 Jul
Flint City
2 : 1
Chicago United
22 Jul
Chicago United
3 : 1
Peoria IL
10 Jul
Chicago United
3 : 1
Springfield
07 Jul
Chicago City
2 : 4
Chicago United
02 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 0
Chicago City
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