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St. Louis Lions vs Kaw Valley

USA USA

USL League Two 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis Lions play Kaw Valley in the USL League Two 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Louis Lions averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Kaw Valley averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, St. Louis Lions won 1, Kaw Valley won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 17, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for St. Louis Lions and 2.31 for Kaw Valley. This points to a Kaw Valley double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
St. Louis Lions
23%
Draws
40%
Kaw Valley
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Kaw Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Louis Lions picked up more points recently compared to Kaw Valley.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
St. Louis Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Kaw Valley Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis Lions Kaw Valley
Matches Played 16 27
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.19 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2022 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Kaw Valley
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Kaw Valley
0:1
May 21, 2022 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Lions
1:3
Jul 3, 2020 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Lions
0:0
May 23, 2020 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Lions
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis Lions 35 / 100
Kaw Valley 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis Lions Kaw Valley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kaw Valley or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Louis Lions attacking → ← attacking Kaw Valley

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis Lions scored in 81% of their last 16 games.

Kaw Valley let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

St. Louis Lions went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kaw Valley lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 41
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25