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St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL Premier Development League 2018
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2018 game between St. Louis Lions and Thunder Bay Chill finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. Louis Lions
15%
Draws
76%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of St. Louis Lions on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thunder Bay Chill a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Louis Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis Lions Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.19 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2020 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
0:0
Jun 11, 2020 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jul 1, 2019 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
2:1
May 26, 2019 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:0
Jul 7, 2018 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Louis Lions
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis Lions 10 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis Lions Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis Lions found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

Thunder Bay Chill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: St. Louis Lions remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thunder Bay Chill
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis Lions

(Home)
17 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
16 Jul
St. Louis Lions
0 : 1
Kaw Valley
14 Jul
Chicago City
3 : 3
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
2 : 1
St. Louis Lions
03 Jul
FC Wichita
3 : 1
St. Louis Lions
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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