Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

St. Marys

3 - 1

Downpatrick

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Marys in this Irish Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

St. Marys

15%

Draws

85%

Downpatrick

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Downpatrick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence

St. Marys haven't matched Downpatrick's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Downpatrick arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor St. Marys, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

St. Marys Clean Sheet 10%

Downpatrick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Marys	Downpatrick
Matches Played	8	13
Wins	2	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	7
Goals Scored	1.75	1.77
Goals Conceded	3.25	1.92
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 Irish Cup

St. Marys vs Downpatrick

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Marys 29 / 100

Downpatrick 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Marys Downpatrick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Marys Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Marys found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: Downpatrick conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Downpatrick's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Marys VS Downpatrick

1.75 Goals Scored 2.5

3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Marys

(Home)

07 Jan

Knockbreda

2 : 0

St. Marys

17 Aug

St. Marys

1 : 3

East Belfast

19 Aug

Bryansburn

3 : 1

St. Marys

01 Oct

St. Marys

4 : 5

Oxford Stars

07 Nov

Ards Rangers

4 : 1

St. Marys

Page 1 of 2

Downpatrick

(Away)

03 Oct

St. Marys

3 : 1

Downpatrick

09 Nov

Newry City

1 : 0

Downpatrick

19 Nov

Larne Technical Old Boys

2 : 0

Downpatrick

23 Oct

Downpatrick

0 : 4

Nortel

18 Sept

Downpatrick

2 : 1

Drumaness

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Dromore Amateurs 0

Bloomfield 1

Desertmartin 4

Ballywalter Recreation 4

Iveagh Utd 2

Foundry 0

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 5

Dungiven 1

TBD -

Groomsport -

Newcastle 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Colin Valley 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Laurelvale 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 8

Rathcoole 3

Ballymacash 2

Craigavon City 3

Lower Maze 4

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 2

Saintfield 1

Bryansburn 2

Killyleagh Youth 3

Malachians 1

Grove 0

Windmill 0

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Rosario Youth 7

Rathfern Rangers 4

Richhill 2

Ballynahinch United 2

Valley Rangers 4

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 2

Islandmagee 1

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Derriaghy 4

Seapatrick 1

Killymoon 0

Portaferry Rovers 0

Banbridge Rangers 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Nortel 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Moneyslane FC 2

Barn 1

Chimney 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Shankill 4

Donard 2

Markethill 1

St. Patricks Young 2

St. Marys 3

Fivemiletown 2

TBD -

Downpatrick -

Strabane Athletic 11

Kilmore Rec 0

East Belfast 1

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 3

Broomhill 2

Drumaness 1

Dunloy 4

Newry City 5

Ardstraw 1

Shorts 0

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Newbuildings 2

Crewe 3

Brantwood 2

Magherafelt 1

Ballynure Old Boys 1

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Hanover 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Mossley FC 1

U. U. Jordanstown 1

Abbey Villa 4

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Desertmartin 1

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Tandragee 4

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 4

Groomsport 1

Newcastle 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 10

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Rathcoole 1

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 3

Killyleagh Youth 1

Malachians 0

Comber Rec 1

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Rosario Youth 1

Rathfern Rangers 1

Valley Rangers 3

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 6

Derriaghy 1

Seapatrick 0

Banbridge Rangers 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 9

Seagoe 1

Moneyslane FC 2

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 3

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Shankill 1

St. Patricks Young 4

St. Marys 3

Downpatrick 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 10

Dunloy 2

Newry City 1

Crumlin Star 2

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Crewe 0

Brantwood 2

Sirocco 3

Dunmurry Rec 5

Hanover 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Abbey Villa 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Tandragee 0

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 3

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 4

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 4

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Valley Rangers 0

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 5

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 1

St. Patricks Young 0

St. Marys 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 0

Crumlin Star 5

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart 3

Moyola 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 6

Dergview 1

Newtowne FC 1

Institute 2

Immaculata 2

Dundela 0

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda 3

Lisburn Distillery 2

Dollingstown 1

Annagh 2

Bangor FC 5

Coagh Utd 0

Ardglass 0

Lurgan Celtic 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Harland & Wolff 3

Ards 7

Donegal 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI 2

Newington FC 1

Queens University 1

Tobermore 2

Larne 2

Limavady 0

Trojans 1

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Banbridge 4

Oxford Stars 3

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare 0

Crumlin Star 1

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Linfield 2

Ballymena 1

Portstewart 2

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 3

Institute 2

Immaculata 0

Cliftonville 2

Portadown 6

Wakehurst 1

Ballinamallard 2

Coleraine 3

Knockbreda 5

Annagh 1

Bangor FC 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Glenavon 4

Harland & Wolff 1

Ards 1

Glentoran 4

PSNI 2

Tobermore 0

Larne 2

Loughgall 5

Carrick Rangers 2

Banbridge 0

Oxford Stars 2

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon 4

Warrenpoint 3

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

1/8-finals

Linfield 7

Armagh 0

Sport & Leisure 0

Cliftonville 4

Portadown 3

Coleraine 1

Knockbreda 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glenavon 4

Glentoran 1

PSNI 0

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Crumlin Star 0

Dungannon 1

Crusaders 3

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Cliftonville 0

Portadown 2

Lurgan Celtic 3

Glenavon 2

Loughgall 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Linfield 3

Lurgan Celtic 0

Glenavon 4

Crusaders 3

Final

Linfield 0

Glenavon 2

St. Marys vs Downpatrick

Northern Ireland

St. Marys

Downpatrick

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

St. Marys

Downpatrick

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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