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Stadium Background

St. Maur Lusitanos vs Creteil

France France

National 2 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tade Y.
64' Event
Iva T.
67' Event
Tade Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C game between St. Maur Lusitanos and Creteil finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Maur Lusitanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
St. Maur Lusitanos
28%
Draws
22%
Creteil
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Creteil.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for St. Maur Lusitanos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2 - Group C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Creteil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Maur Lusitanos Creteil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 National 2 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Creteil
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Creteil vs St. Maur Lusitanos
0:3
Mar 4, 2023 National 2 - Group B
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Creteil
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 National 2 - Group B
Creteil vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:0
Feb 6, 2021 Coupe de France
Creteil vs St. Maur Lusitanos
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tade Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Creteil Compare

Top Goalscorer Iva T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 59 / 100
Creteil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Maur Lusitanos Creteil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Creteil let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

St. Maur Lusitanos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Creteil lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS Creteil
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cannes30179453:3060
2Nimes30185746:2559
3St. Maur Lusitanos301510540:2455
4Rumilly Vallieres30138949:3647
5Hyeres301112736:2745
6Andrezieux30129948:3345
7Istres301110942:3243
8Creteil301271136:3443
9GOAL FC301181138:4640
10RC Grasse30991241:4236
11Frejus Saint Raphael30981337:5035
12Limonest30971436:4934
13FC Bobigny 93307111229:3132
14Toulon308101238:4731
15Saint Priest30791435:5030
16Rousset Ste Victoire30262228:7612