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St. Maur Lusitanos vs GOAL FC

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Meftah A.
71' Event
Allegret M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
St. Maur Lusitanos
35%
Draws
23%
GOAL FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos have won more games recently than GOAL FC.
  • St. Maur Lusitanos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%
GOAL FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Maur Lusitanos GOAL FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs GOAL FC
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
GOAL FC vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Meftah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

GOAL FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Allegret M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 68 / 100
GOAL FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Maur Lusitanos GOAL FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: St. Maur Lusitanos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

GOAL FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS GOAL FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
22 Aug
Biesheim
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
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GOAL FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
GOAL FC
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)