Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group C

Limonest

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Maur Lusitanos play Limonest in the National 2 - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Maur Lusitanos averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Limonest averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, St. Maur Lusitanos won 2, Limonest won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for St. Maur Lusitanos and 1.38 for Limonest. This points to a St. Maur Lusitanos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

St. Maur Lusitanos

26%

Draws

24%

Limonest

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

St. Maur Lusitanos picked up more points recently compared to Limonest.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 17%

Limonest Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Maur Lusitanos	Limonest
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	9
Draws	9	7
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	1.55	1.2
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National 2 - Group C

St. Maur Lusitanos vs Limonest

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Sep 6, 2025 National 2 - Group C

Limonest vs St. Maur Lusitanos

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kissy A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Bichet T.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 48 / 100

Limonest 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Maur Lusitanos Limonest

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Maur Lusitanos or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Maur Lusitanos attacking → ← attacking Limonest

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Limonest let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

St. Maur Lusitanos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Limonest lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 34

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cannes	30	17	9	4	53:30	60
2	Nimes	30	18	5	7	46:25	59
3	St. Maur Lusitanos	30	15	10	5	40:24	55
4	Rumilly Vallieres	30	13	8	9	49:36	47
5	Hyeres	30	11	12	7	36:27	45
6	Andrezieux	30	12	9	9	48:33	45
7	Istres	30	11	10	9	42:32	43
8	Creteil	30	12	7	11	36:34	43
9	GOAL FC	30	11	8	11	38:46	40
10	RC Grasse	30	9	9	12	41:42	36
11	Frejus Saint Raphael	30	9	8	13	37:50	35
12	Limonest	30	9	7	14	36:49	34
13	FC Bobigny 93	30	7	11	12	29:31	32
14	Toulon	30	8	10	12	38:47	31
15	Saint Priest	30	7	9	14	35:50	30
16	Rousset Ste Victoire	30	2	6	22	28:76	12