Sport Picks
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Saint Priest
France
National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Chamakh J.
35'
35'
Tade Y.
AI Match Summary
The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between St. Maur Lusitanos and Saint Priest finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Maur Lusitanos carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on St. Maur Lusitanos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Priest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Maur Lusitanos | Saint Priest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs St. Maur Lusitanos
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Saint Priest
1:1
Jan 7, 1999 Ligue 3
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Saint Priest
3:0
Aug 14, 1998 Ligue 3
Saint Priest vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Maur Lusitanos Compare
Top Goalscorer Tade Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Saint Priest Compare
Top Goalscorer Chamakh J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Maur Lusitanos 95 / 100
Saint Priest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Maur Lusitanos Saint Priest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Saint Priest conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: St. Maur Lusitanos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
St. Maur Lusitanos VS Saint Priest
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Maur Lusitanos
(Home) 03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1 Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0 St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1 Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2 St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1 Saint-Pryve
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1 Borgo
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1 Chambly
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1 Saint-Pryve
09 May
St. Maur Lusitanos
1 : 1 Hyeres
18 Apr
St. Maur Lusitanos
1 : 1 GOAL FC
Page 1 of 3
Saint Priest
(Away) 03 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 2 Touraine
19 Sept
Hyeres
1 : 1 Saint Priest
12 Sept
Saint Priest
1 : 1 Hauts Lyonnais
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1 Saint Priest
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1 Lyon - La Duchere
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hyeres
1 : 1 Saint Priest
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1 Saint Priest
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0 Saint Priest
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2 Saint Priest
16 May
Hyeres
4 : 1 Saint Priest
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cannes | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 53:30 | 60 |
| 2 | Nimes | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46:25 | 59 |
| 3 | St. Maur Lusitanos | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 40:24 | 55 |
| 4 | Rumilly Vallieres | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 49:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Hyeres | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 45 |
| 6 | Andrezieux | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Istres | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 8 | Creteil | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 43 |
| 9 | GOAL FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:46 | 40 |
| 10 | RC Grasse | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 41:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Frejus Saint Raphael | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 37:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Limonest | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Bobigny 93 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29:31 | 32 |
| 14 | Toulon | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:47 | 31 |
| 15 | Saint Priest | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Rousset Ste Victoire | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 28:76 | 12 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
