Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Michaels vs Janesboro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup
Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
St. Michaels
15%
Draws
57%
Janesboro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Janesboro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Michaels lately — more wins on the board than Janesboro.
  • Model gives Janesboro a 57% chance of winning this.
  • St. Michaels have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Janesboro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 13%
Janesboro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Michaels Janesboro
Matches Played 14 6
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 0.71 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs Janesboro
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Michaels 22 / 100
Janesboro 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Michaels Janesboro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Janesboro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Janesboro let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Janesboro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

St. Michaels found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Scoring Trends

St. Michaels VS Janesboro
1 Goals Scored 1.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Michaels

(Home)
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3
Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5
Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1
Glengad United
Page 1 of 3

Janesboro

(Away)
18 Jul
Janesboro
0 : 4
Sligo Rovers
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3
Janesboro
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
20 Aug
UC Dublin
3 : 1
Janesboro
22 May
Janesboro
2 : 1
Sheriff YC
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -