Sport Picks

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland

League Cup The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

St. Mirren

0 - 1

Dunfermline

Our Tip

Match Events

Robinson L.

29'

Corbally K.

61'

Sub

Morrison C. In: Kane Ch.

Out: Morrison C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

St. Mirren

20%

Draws

57%

Dunfermline

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of St. Mirren on wins alone.
Dunfermline are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Dunfermline arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

St. Mirren Clean Sheet 20%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Mirren	Dunfermline
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	12	15
Draws	4	7
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.38	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.59	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

0:1

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Dunfermline vs St. Mirren

0:1

Jul 13, 2021 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

1:0

Jul 14, 2019 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

2:3

Mar 10, 2018 Championship

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 28 / 100

Dunfermline 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Mirren Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Dunfermline has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

St. Mirren has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Dunfermline

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)

19 Sept

St. Mirren

0 : 3

Dundee Utd

09 Sept

Rangers

1 : 0

St. Mirren

05 Sept

St. Mirren

1 : 2

Celtic

02 Sept

Kilmarnock

0 : 1

St. Mirren

30 Aug

St. Mirren

3 : 3

Motherwell

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Dunfermline

(Away)

03 Oct

Dunfermline

1 : 4

Aberdeen

19 Sept

Morton

0 : 1

Dunfermline

12 Sept

Dunfermline

2 : 0

Queen's Park

05 Sept

Arbroath

1 : 1

Dunfermline

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

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