Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

St. Mirren

0 - 1

Dunfermline

Our Tip

Match Events

Robinson L.

29'

Corbally K.

61'

Sub

Morrison C. In: Kane Ch.

Out: Morrison C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Dunfermline advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

St. Mirren

28%

Draws

22%

Dunfermline

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of St. Mirren on wins alone.
St. Mirren are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Dunfermline arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

St. Mirren Clean Sheet 20%

Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Mirren	Dunfermline
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	2.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

0:1

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Dunfermline vs St. Mirren

0:1

Jul 13, 2021 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

1:0

Jul 14, 2019 League Cup

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

2:3

Mar 10, 2018 Championship

St. Mirren vs Dunfermline

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 49 / 100

Dunfermline 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Mirren Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St. Mirren remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St. Mirren's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dunfermline has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Dunfermline

2.63 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)

21 Jul

St. Mirren

4 : 3

East Kilbride

18 Jul

Cove Rangers

0 : 4

St. Mirren

11 Jul

Dumbarton

0 : 4

St. Mirren

27 Jun

Arbroath

2 : 4

St. Mirren

25 May

St. Mirren

1 : 0

Partick

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Dunfermline

(Away)

21 Jul

Dunfermline

5 : 0

Cove Rangers

14 Jul

Dunfermline

4 : 1

Dumbarton

11 Jul

East Kilbride

3 : 0

Dunfermline

04 Jul

Kelty Hearts

0 : 3

Dunfermline

27 Jun

Clyde

1 : 2

Dunfermline

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