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St. Mirren vs Partick

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 The SMISA Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
McPherson B. In: Logan C.
Out: McPherson B.
49'
McBeth L.
60'
Tanser S.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between St. Mirren and Partick finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
St. Mirren
20%
Draws
38%
Partick
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Mirren haven't matched Partick's recent run of results.
  • St. Mirren are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • St. Mirren have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 17%
Partick Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Partick
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Championship
St. Mirren vs Partick
1:0
May 21, 2026 Championship
Partick vs St. Mirren
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:0
Oct 7, 2020 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraser M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Partick Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 41 / 100
Partick 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Partick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: St. Mirren stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: St. Mirren scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Partick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Partick
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
St. Mirren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partick-
TBD-
Arbroath0
Dunfermline1
Semi-finals
St. Mirren-
TBD-
Partick3
Dunfermline2
Final
St. Mirren2
Partick1