Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs Partick

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
McPherson B. In: Logan C.
Out: McPherson B.
49'
McBeth L.
60'
Tanser S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with St. Mirren advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
St. Mirren
35%
Draws
39%
Partick
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Partick haven't matched St. Mirren's recent run of results.
  • Partick are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • St. Mirren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Mirren, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Mirren have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 18%
Partick Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Partick
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Championship
St. Mirren vs Partick
1:0
May 21, 2026 Championship
Partick vs St. Mirren
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
2:0
Oct 7, 2020 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Partick
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraser M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Partick Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 15 / 100
Partick 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Partick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partick Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Partick has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: St. Mirren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Partick
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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Partick

(Away)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TBD -
Arbroath 0
Dunfermline 1
Semi-finals
St. Mirren -
TBD -
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Final
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1