Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren host St Johnstone in the Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. St Johnstone have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while St. Mirren have conceded 1 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor St. Mirren slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward St Johnstone. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Mirren
33%
Draws
27%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St Johnstone have won more games recently than St. Mirren.
  • Win probability leans St. Mirren's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 15%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren St Johnstone
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs St. Mirren
2:3
Oct 30, 2024 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
2:0
Dec 6, 2023 Premiership
St Johnstone vs St. Mirren
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 39 / 100
St Johnstone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: St. Mirren stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

St. Mirren's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: St Johnstone conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS St Johnstone
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
21 Jul
St. Mirren
4 : 3
East Kilbride
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
27 Jun
Arbroath
2 : 4
St. Mirren
25 May
St. Mirren
1 : 0
Partick
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St Johnstone

(Away)
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0
Morton
14 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
St Johnstone
11 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 4
St Johnstone
04 Jul
Montrose
0 : 3
St Johnstone
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)