Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Fraser M.
29'
Carr R.
49' Event
Gullan J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Mirren
30%
Draws
39%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • St Johnstone have won more games recently than St. Mirren.
  • Win probability leans St Johnstone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Mirren have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 16%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren St Johnstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs St. Mirren
2:3
Oct 30, 2024 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Premiership
St. Mirren vs St Johnstone
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 23 / 100
St Johnstone 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Johnstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: St Johnstone conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: St. Mirren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS St Johnstone
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

St Johnstone

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)