Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
McNeill I.
89'
89'
Kelly D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Collinstown advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Mochta's
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Collinstown haven't matched St Mochta's's recent run of results.
- St Mochta's are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- St Mochta's have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Collinstown, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 15%
Collinstown Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Mochta's | Collinstown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 5 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2019 FAI Cup
St Mochta's vs Collinstown
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Mochta's Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Collinstown Compare
Top Goalscorer McNeill I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Mochta's 39 / 100
Collinstown 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Mochta's Collinstown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Mochta's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Collinstown conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.
Attacking prowess: St Mochta's scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.
Collinstown lost 4 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
St Mochta's VS Collinstown
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
St Mochta's
(Home) 17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
27 Feb
St Mochta's
3 : 0 Usher Celtic
31 Jan
St Mochta's
0 : 2 Bohemians
10 Jul
St Mochta's
0 : 7 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 2
Collinstown
(Away) 17 May
Wayside Celtic
2 : 1 Collinstown
18 Jul
Collinstown
1 : 2 Lucan Utd
11 Aug
Collinstown
1 : 2 Galway United
19 Apr
St Mochta's
0 : 1 Collinstown
01 Jun
Collinstown
0 : 2 Avondale United
17 May
Wayside Celtic
2 : 1 Collinstown
19 Apr
St Mochta's
0 : 1 Collinstown
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Avondale United 4
Newtown Rangers 3
TBD -
Drogheda -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Collinstown 1
St Mochta's 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
University College Cork 0
Malahide United 2
Killester Donnycarney -
TBD -
Aisling Annacotty 1
Lucan Utd 3
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Midleton 1
Glebe North 2
Cobh Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Letterkenny Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
Maynooth University 5
St. Michaels 1
Sheriff YC 0
Home Farm 1
Glengad United 2
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
Finn Harps 0
Avondale United 1
Drogheda 2
Cork City 3
Cabinteely 2
Collinstown 1
Galway United 2
Crumlin Utd 3
Malahide United 1
Killester Donnycarney 1
Lucan Utd 2
Longford 3
Athlone 1
Shelbourne 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 8
Glebe North 0
Cobh Wanderers 0
Limerick 1
St. Patricks 2
Bray 1
Letterkenny Rovers 2
UC Dublin 5
Waterford 2
Maynooth University 0
St. Michaels 0
Glengad United 1
Derry City 1
Wexford 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 0
Cork City 0
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 3
Lucan Utd 1
Longford 1
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 6
Limerick 2
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 2
Glengad United 0
Derry City 2
Dundalk 3
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 4
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 1
Dundalk 3
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 1
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
