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St. Patricks vs Cork City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks play Cork City in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Patricks averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Cork City averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, St. Patricks won 2, Cork City won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for St. Patricks and 1.50 for Cork City. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
St. Patricks
28%
Draws
40%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks picked up more points recently compared to Cork City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 16%
Cork City Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Cork City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 20
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.54 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Cork City
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 FAI Cup
Cork City vs St. Patricks
3:0
Sep 22, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Cork City
4:0
Jun 27, 2025 Premier Division
Cork City vs St. Patricks
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Cork City
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 32 / 100
Cork City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Cork City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cork City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Patricks attacking → ← attacking Cork City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Cork City let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St. Patricks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cork City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 64
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00