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St. Patricks vs Doncaster

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks play Doncaster in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Patricks averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Doncaster averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, St. Patricks won 3, Doncaster won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for St. Patricks and 1.17 for Doncaster. This points to a St. Patricks double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Patricks
25%
Draws
35%
Doncaster
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks picked up more points recently compared to Doncaster.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.17 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 20%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Doncaster
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Doncaster
2-0
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Doncaster vs St. Patricks
0-2
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Doncaster
2-2
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Doncaster vs St. Patricks
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Doncaster
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 40 / 100
Doncaster 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Doncaster

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Patricks or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Patricks attacking → ← attacking Doncaster

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Doncaster let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St. Patricks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Doncaster lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 44
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83