Sport Picks
St. Patricks vs University College Cork
Ireland
FAI Cup 2025 Richmond Park, Dublin 
Match Events
19'
19'
Murphy A.
Own Goal
41'
41'
Kavanagh B.
43'
43'
Keena A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 8-0, with St. Patricks advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Patricks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Patricks taking it.
- St. Patricks have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Patricks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%
University College Cork Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Patricks | University College Cork |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 5.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2025 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs University College Cork
8:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Patricks Compare
Top Goalscorer Forrester C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kavanagh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
University College Cork Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Patricks 95 / 100
University College Cork 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Patricks University College Cork
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
University College Cork let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
St. Patricks found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
St. Patricks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Patricks VS University College Cork
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Patricks
(Home) 17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1 Wexford
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
10 Jul
Waterford
1 : 1 St. Patricks
03 Jul
St. Patricks
3 : 0 Galway United
26 Jun
Bohemians
2 : 0 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1 Wexford
03 Jul
St. Patricks
3 : 0 Galway United
19 Jun
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
12 Jun
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Drogheda
15 May
St. Patricks
0 : 1 Shelbourne
Page 1 of 3
University College Cork
(Away) 17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2 University College Cork
20 Jul
St. Patricks
8 : 0 University College Cork
17 May
Ringmahon Rangers
1 : 3 University College Cork
24 Jan
Cobh Ramblers
5 : 0 University College Cork
31 Jan
University College Cork
1 : 2 Midleton
Page 1 of 4
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2 University College Cork
20 Jul
St. Patricks
8 : 0 University College Cork
17 May
Ringmahon Rangers
1 : 3 University College Cork
24 Jan
Cobh Ramblers
5 : 0 University College Cork
26 Mar
Waterford
4 : 1 University College Cork
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Treaty United-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Drogheda-
TBD-
Crumlin Utd4
Lucan Utd2
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Wexford-
North End United1
Castlebar Celtic4
TBD-
Longford-
Kerry-
TBD-
TBD-
Athlone-
College Corinthians1
Bangor Celtic2
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Midleton0
Killester Donnycarney6
TBD-
Bohemians-
Dundalk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Finn Harps-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Bray-
TBD-
Wayside Celtic4
River Valley Rangers0
Cork City-
TBD-
Leicester Celtic AFC2
Fanad United1
Waterford-
TBD-
St Mochta's4
Douglas Hall0
St. Patricks-
TBD-
Ringmahon Rangers1
University College Cork3
Fairview Rangers4
Baldoyle Utd.0
TBD-
Shelbourne-
Salthill2
Liffey Wanderers1
St. Michaels-
Usher Celtic-
Galway United-
TBD-
Tolka3
Janesboro1
1/16-finals
Treaty United1
Derry City5
Drogheda5
Crumlin Utd0
Shamrock Rovers4
Wexford0
Castlebar Celtic3
Longford6
Kerry2
Athlone1
Bangor Celtic0
Cobh Ramblers2
Killester Donnycarney0
Bohemians7
Dundalk0
Sligo Rovers2
Finn Harps3
UC Dublin0
Bray3
Wayside Celtic0
Cork City3
Leicester Celtic AFC0
Waterford5
St Mochta's1
St. Patricks8
University College Cork0
Fairview Rangers0
Shelbourne4
Salthill1
St. Michaels0
Galway United2
Tolka0
1/8-finals
Derry City1
Drogheda2
Shamrock Rovers2
Longford1
Kerry2
Cobh Ramblers0
Bohemians0
Sligo Rovers1
Finn Harps3
Bray1
Cork City2
Waterford1
St. Patricks2
Shelbourne0
Salthill0
Galway United4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda1
Shamrock Rovers2
Kerry4
Sligo Rovers3
Finn Harps0
Cork City3
St. Patricks3
Galway United1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers6
Kerry1
Cork City3
St. Patricks0
Final
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City0