Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

St. Patricks Young

5 - 4

Markethill

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-4, with St. Patricks Young advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

St. Patricks Young

15%

Draws

21%

Markethill

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks Young

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

St. Patricks Young carry the better recent record into this one.
64% — that's where the model lands on St. Patricks Young taking it.
St. Patricks Young have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor St. Patricks Young, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 94%

Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 88.6%

St. Patricks Young Clean Sheet 10%

Markethill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Patricks Young	Markethill
Matches Played	10	7
Wins	6	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	2.2	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.9	3.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.97	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup

St. Patricks Young vs Markethill

5:4

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup

St. Patricks Young vs Markethill

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks Young 83 / 100

Markethill 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Patricks Young Markethill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Young Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks Young found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (9 games).

Defensive concern: Markethill conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St. Patricks Young remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks Young VS Markethill

2.38 Goals Scored 2.14

2.13 Goals Conceded 3.57

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks Young

(Home)

29 Sept

Lurgan Celtic

St. Patricks Young

18 Aug

Woodvale

2 : 3

St. Patricks Young

04 Nov

St. Patricks Young

2 : 5

Annagh

30 Sept

St. Patricks Young

3 : 2

Wellington Rec

19 Aug

Lower Maze

1 : 2

St. Patricks Young

Page 1 of 2

Markethill

(Away)

17 Aug

Mossley FC

4 : 1

Markethill

18 Aug

Killyleagh Youth

5 : 3

Markethill

30 Sept

Annagh

4 : 2

Markethill

19 Aug

Markethill

2 : 1

Grove

20 Aug

St. Patricks Young

5 : 4

Markethill

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

TBD -

Nortel -

St. Marys -

TBD -

Donegal 1

Oxford Stars 3

Glebe 4

Iveagh Utd 0

Portaferry Rovers 2

Silverwood 3

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Moyola 3

Craigavon City 1

Grove 6

Sport & Leisure 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Markethill 4

St. Patricks Young 5

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Laurelvale 1

TBD -

Ards Rangers -

Abbey Villa 5

Holywood 0

Saintfield 0

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Crewe 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Ardglass -

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 0

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Sofia Farmer 2

Lower Maze 1

Banbridge 0

Limavady 2

Donard -

TBD -

Tullyvallen Rangers 0

Windmill 5

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 4

Rosario Youth 0

Dromore Amateurs 0

Queens University 14

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Foundry 1

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Comber Rec 4

Brantwood 3

Ballywalter Recreation 1

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC -

TBD -

St Luke's -

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Dunloy 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Dundonald 2

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Desertmartin 2

Newcastle 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown -

Killymoon -

Hanover 2

Sirocco 3

Newry City 7

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Bangor FC 2

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

Rathfern Rangers 0

Dungannon Rovers 0

U. U. Jordanstown 4

Barn -

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness -

TBD -

Bloomfield 3

Seapatrick 4

Camlough -

TBD -

Dromara -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Bangor Amateurs FC -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Immaculata 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart -

TBD -

Magherafelt 1

Moneyslane FC 6

Islandmagee 4

Ballymacash 1

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

Valley Rangers 3

Newtowne FC 1

TBD -

Seagoe -

Coagh Utd 2

Malachians 1

Banbridge Rangers 4

Derriaghy 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/128-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

Nortel -

St. Marys 4

Oxford Stars 5

Glebe 3

Silverwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Grove 5

Sport & Leisure 2

St. Patricks Young 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 4

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings 2

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 5

Ardglass 1

Crumlin United 2

Ballymoney 3

Sofia Farmer 2

Limavady 0

Donard -

Windmill -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Queens University 0

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Lisburn Rangers 4

Comber Rec 5

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC 1

St Luke's 4

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 8

Dunloy 0

Strabane Athletic 4

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Desertmartin 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Sirocco 1

Newry City 1

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Barn 1

Dundela 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Seapatrick 0

Camlough 0

Dromara 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Ballynahinch United 1

Crumlin Star 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 2

Moneyslane FC 0

Islandmagee 5

Killyleagh Youth 3

Valley Rangers 7

Seagoe 0

Coagh Utd 1

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/64-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 1

Oxford Stars 0

Glebe 0

Grove 1

Sport & Leisure 3

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 2

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 3

Ballymoney 1

Sofia Farmer 0

Windmill 2

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Comber Rec 2

St Luke's 3

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 2

East Belfast 0

Wakehurst 1

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 5

Newington FC 4

Downshire Y.M. 2

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Dromara 1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 5

Killyleagh Youth 0

Valley Rangers 0

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/32-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 6

Grove 2

Sport & Leisure 1

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 4

Windmill 3

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart 4

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/16-finals

Dungannon 3

Dergview 0

Richhill 1

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 2

Knockbreda 1

Ballinamallard 0

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 2

Ards 0

Lisburn Distillery 1

PSNI 2

Institute 4

Ballyclare 2

Glentoran 1

Linfield 2

Coleraine 5

Carrick Rangers 1

Annagh 0

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Larne 1

Fivemiletown 0

Loughgall 3

Armagh 2

Trojans 1

Portstewart 1

Glenavon 4

1/8-finals

Dungannon 4

Dollingstown 1

Crewe 0

Warrenpoint 5

Crusaders 2

PSNI 0

Institute 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Harland & Wolff 1

Ballymena 3

Portadown 2

Loughgall 1

Armagh 0

Glenavon 2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon 2

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 4

Ballymena 0

Portadown 0

Glenavon 5

Semi-finals

Dungannon 0

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Glenavon 1

Final

Linfield 3

Coleraine 0

St. Patricks Young vs Markethill

Northern Ireland

St. Patricks Young

Markethill

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks Young

Markethill

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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