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St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli II host Weiche Flensburg 08 in the Regionalliga North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Weiche Flensburg 08 have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while St. Pauli II have conceded 2.21 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor St. Pauli II slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.13) back Weiche Flensburg 08 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
St. Pauli II
15%
Draws
68%
Weiche Flensburg 08
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weiche Flensburg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Weiche Flensburg 08 lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli II.
  • Weiche Flensburg 08 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Weiche Flensburg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Weiche Flensburg 08
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.61 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs St. Pauli II
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
1:3
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs St. Pauli II
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 10 / 100
Weiche Flensburg 08 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Weiche Flensburg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weiche Flensburg 08 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli II found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Weiche Flensburg 08 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Pauli II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS Weiche Flensburg 08
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli II

(Home)
17 Oct
Lubeck
4 : 1
St. Pauli II
11 Oct
St. Pauli II
3 : 4
Hannoverscher SC
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
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Weiche Flensburg 08

(Away)
16 Oct
Weiche Flensburg 08
3 : 0
Drochtersen / Assel
11 Oct
Todesfelde
0 : 4
Weiche Flensburg 08
03 Oct
Weiche Flensburg 08
3 : 2
VfB Oldenburg
27 Sept
Bremer
0 : 3
Weiche Flensburg 08
19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 14 11 1 2 43:14 34
2 Hannover II 14 9 3 2 32:18 30
3 Drochtersen / Assel 14 9 1 4 43:21 28
4 VfB Oldenburg 13 9 1 3 39:18 28
5 Phonix Lubeck 13 8 3 2 36:12 27
6 Schoningen 14 7 3 4 22:24 24
7 Delmenhorst 13 5 4 4 19:20 19
8 Emden 14 5 4 5 34:38 19
9 Lubeck 14 4 6 4 20:23 18
10 Hannoverscher SC 14 4 5 5 22:30 17
11 Eimsbutteler 13 4 2 7 21:35 14
12 Eintracht Norderstedt 12 3 4 5 24:31 13
13 Hamburger II 13 4 1 8 19:28 13
14 Jeddeloh 14 4 1 9 22:36 13
15 Werder Bremen II 13 3 3 7 18:23 12
16 Todesfelde 14 3 3 8 22:43 12
17 St. Pauli II 13 3 1 9 24:29 10
18 Bremer 13 2 2 9 9:26 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)