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Stadium Background

St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Wardius J.
33' Event
Goguadze N.
87' Event
Rocker C.

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli II in this Regionalliga North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Pauli II
15%
Draws
42%
Werder Bremen II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen II have won more games recently than St. Pauli II.
  • St. Pauli II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Regionalliga North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Werder Bremen II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 15%
Werder Bremen II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Werder Bremen II
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga North
Werder Bremen II vs St. Pauli II
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II
2:3
Apr 17, 2025 Regionalliga North
Werder Bremen II vs St. Pauli II
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wardius J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goguadze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Werder Bremen II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocker C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 66 / 100
Werder Bremen II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Werder Bremen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen II let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: St. Pauli II scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Werder Bremen II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS Werder Bremen II
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli II

(Home)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
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Werder Bremen II

(Away)
06 Oct
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2
Hannover II
20 Sept
Eintracht Norderstedt
2 : 5
Werder Bremen II
16 Sept
Eimsbutteler
2 : 4
Werder Bremen II
12 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 1
Schoningen
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 12 9 1 2 36:14 28
2 Drochtersen / Assel 12 8 1 3 40:18 25
3 Hannover II 12 7 3 2 26:16 24
4 Schoningen 12 7 3 2 19:17 24
5 Phonix Lubeck 11 7 2 2 30:9 23
6 VfB Oldenburg 11 7 1 3 33:17 22
7 Emden 12 5 3 4 32:32 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eimsbutteler 12 4 2 6 21:33 14
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
11 Hannoverscher SC 12 3 4 5 17:26 13
12 Lubeck 12 2 6 4 14:21 12
13 Werder Bremen II 11 3 2 6 16:20 11
14 Todesfelde 12 3 2 7 21:38 11
15 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
16 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
17 Jeddeloh 12 3 1 8 18:32 10
18 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)