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St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between St. Pauli U19 and Erfurt U19 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
St. Pauli U19
20%
Draws
10%
Erfurt U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Pauli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Pauli U19 come out ahead of Erfurt U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Pauli U19 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular DFB Youth League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Pauli U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Erfurt U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli U19 Erfurt U19
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 2.4 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 DFB Youth League
Erfurt U19 vs St. Pauli U19
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
5:0
Apr 30, 2016 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
1:0
Nov 28, 2015 Junioren Bundesliga North
Erfurt U19 vs St. Pauli U19
0:3
Apr 12, 2015 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Erfurt U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli U19 85 / 100
Erfurt U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli U19 Erfurt U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erfurt U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St. Pauli U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli U19 VS Erfurt U19
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli U19

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Pauli U19
3 : 2
Hansa Rostock U19
12 Sept
St. Pauli U19
1 : 3
Werder Bremen U19
30 Aug
St. Pauli U19
1 : 2
Koln U19
23 Aug
Berliner AK 07 U19
0 : 1
St. Pauli U19
15 Aug
Hansa Rostock U19
1 : 1
St. Pauli U19
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Erfurt U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Aue U19
2 : 1
Erfurt U19
12 Sept
Erfurt U19
2 : 2
Furth U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
19 Aug
Erfurt U19
0 : 5
Nurnberg U19
14 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
2 : 0
Erfurt U19
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