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St. Pauli vs Karlsruher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Dzwigala A.
29' Event
Metcalfe C.
39' Event
Afolayan O.

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St. Pauli
35%
Draws
26%
Karlsruher
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Pauli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Karlsruher average 1.46 goals a game right now, well clear of St. Pauli's 1.26.
  • St. Pauli are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 18%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli Karlsruher
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs Karlsruher
6:1
Apr 6, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs St. Pauli
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Karlsruher
2:1
May 28, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Karlsruher
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs St. Pauli
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzwigala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metcalfe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Karlsruher Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Farhat L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli 76 / 100
Karlsruher 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli Karlsruher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlsruher let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

St. Pauli scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: St. Pauli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli VS Karlsruher
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
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Karlsruher

(Away)
02 Oct
Wehen
1 : 2
Karlsruher
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
04 Sept
Hannover
2 : 2
Karlsruher
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
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