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St. Pauli vs Verona Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025 VELLY Arena Imst Tirol, Imst
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hountondji A.

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
St. Pauli
20%
Draws
56%
Verona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Verona have won more games recently than St. Pauli.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Verona taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 12%
Verona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli Verona
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs Verona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hountondji A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli 11 / 100
Verona 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verona has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

St. Pauli found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Pauli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli VS Verona
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli

(Home)
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0
St. Pauli
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Verona

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
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