Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Petersburg FC vs Swan City

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between St. Petersburg FC and Swan City finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Petersburg FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Petersburg FC
6%
Draws
4%
Swan City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Petersburg FC come out ahead of Swan City on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Petersburg FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 20%
Swan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Petersburg FC Swan City
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Swan City
4:1
May 29, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs St. Petersburg FC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Petersburg FC 85 / 100
Swan City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Petersburg FC Swan City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Petersburg FC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Swan City let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Recent resilience: St. Petersburg FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Petersburg FC VS Swan City
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 0%