Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Polten vs BW Linz

Austria Austria

2. Liga NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Ronivaldo In: Collmann J.
Out: Ronivaldo
70'
Sub
Gabbichler L. In: Hartwig L.
Out: Gabbichler L.
70'
Sub
Wanner J. In: Amon J.
Out: Wanner J.

AI Match Summary

BW Linz in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BW Linz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Polten
15%
Draws
42%
BW Linz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • St. Polten have won more games recently than BW Linz.
  • BW Linz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten BW Linz
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs BW Linz
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 Club Friendly
BW Linz vs St. Polten
1:2
May 12, 2023 2. Liga
St. Polten vs BW Linz
0:2
Sep 16, 2022 2. Liga
BW Linz vs St. Polten
0:1
Feb 25, 2022 2. Liga
St. Polten vs BW Linz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Grimbs N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 10 / 100
BW Linz 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

BW Linz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

St. Polten went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS BW Linz
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
Wacker Innsbruck
1 : 0
St. Polten
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BW Linz

(Away)
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
23 Aug
BW Linz
5 : 1
ASK Voitsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)