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St. Polten vs Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

OFB Cup NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
St. Polten Logo

St. Polten

0 - 3
FT
Salzburg Logo

Salzburg

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Tabakovic H.
33' Event
Camara A.
46'
Sub
Rupp P. In: Hartwig L.
Out: Rupp P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Polten
15%
Draws
45%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salzburg lately — more wins on the board than St. Polten.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Salzburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salzburg, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Salzburg here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten Salzburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.32 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.11 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 OFB Cup
St. Polten vs Salzburg
0:3
Oct 27, 2021 OFB Cup
St. Polten vs Salzburg
0:3
Mar 7, 2021 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs St. Polten
4:1
Nov 28, 2020 Bundesliga
St. Polten vs Salzburg
2:8
Oct 17, 2020 OFB Cup
St. Polten vs Salzburg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabakovic H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 30 / 100
Salzburg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salzburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: St. Polten scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Salzburg has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: St. Polten stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS Salzburg
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1
St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
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Salzburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -